This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Israel
· Geopolitics
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? (Resolved)
Yes
$1.6M Volume
1%
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $699. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
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