Crypto · Congress

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

$249 Volume
08/08/2026 03:59
View on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes.

The following satisfy the resolution criteria:
- A vote on final passage of the bill
- A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill
- A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill

The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria:
- Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded
- Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote
- Committee votes
- Votes on amendments to the bill
- Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote

For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act.

This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
Yes is the outsider here at 38%, while No trades at 63%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 8 Aug 2026 (9 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
Total turnover stands at $249. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

Similar Markets

Republican PartyRepublican Party56%YesNo
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%YesNo
Jerry Moran64%YesNo
Mike Lee53%YesNo
Above 6045%YesNo
Above 5041%YesNo
≤4722%YesNo
5115%YesNo
Rand Paul65%YesNo
Thom Tillis63%YesNo
753%YesNo
108%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more