This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thom Tillis
$1.6K Volume
87%
Rand Paul
$65 Volume
94%
Lisa Murkowski
$459 Volume
89%
John Cornyn
$203 Volume
89%
John Curtis
$38 Volume
40%
Dan Sullivan
$2 Volume
91%
Mitch McConnell
$1.4K Volume
54%
Susan Collins
$99 Volume
58%
Bill Cassidy
$56 Volume
65%
John Fetterman
$992 Volume
16%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Rand Paul dominates the field at 88%; the nearest challenger, Thom Tillis, trades at just 85%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Traders price Rand Paul at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (162 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
$5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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