Congress · US Election

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

$78.7K Volume
31/08/2026 00:00
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$22.4K Volume
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The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.

For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)

Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.

This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
The field is wide open: 7 tops it at just 34%, with 11 close behind at 23%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 7 at 34% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the How many Republican Senators not running in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (52 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$78.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade How many Republican Senators not running in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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