This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Tech
Elon Musk
Business
AI
Tesla
Yes Probability
17%
No Probability
83%
Trading Volume
$109
Time Remaining
69 days left
Yes
$96.8K Volume
15%