Smith College is an all-women's college in Massachusetts that is currently undergoing a federal civil rights investigation for its policies relating to transgender women.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Smith College changes its policies to exclude the future admission of or to unenroll current students who were born male and identify as transgender women from its Northampton campus by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The existence of or potential for individualized waivers from a general policy shall not be sufficient to prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the policy goes into effect.
An announcement that prohibits transgender women from enrolling at its campus in Northampton, Massachusetts will count, even if it includes provisions allowing transgender women to enroll at satellite locations or remotely.
The resolution source will be official statements from Smith College or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
Yes is priced at 12% and No at 88%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 12% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
How much money is trading on Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $9.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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