Tech · AI

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

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$1.3K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Jun 30

Dec 31

1560

$60.6K Volume

35%

1580

$45.1K Volume

30%

1600

$14.2K Volume

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Even the leader is cheap - 1560 trades at 33%, 1580 at 30%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.

What do traders predict for Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

No strong consensus yet: 1560 tops the implied probabilities at just 33%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Traders have put $1.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.