This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Past
1560
$90.9K Volume
35%
1580
$64.4K Volume
21%
1600
$33.8K Volume
14%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
The current front-runner is 1560 at 35%, ahead of 1580 at 21%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Traders currently imply a 35% chance for 1560. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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