This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?
Tech
AI
Big Tech
Claude
Yes Probability
75%
No Probability
25%
Trading Volume
$20
Time Remaining
69 days left
1550
$3.5K Volume
72%
1570
$1.7K Volume
69%
1560
$1.2K Volume
56%