AI · Big Tech

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

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$187K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Money currently favors Yes at 85%, with No holding 16%. The gap is meaningful yet far from safe; prices update in real time.

What do traders predict for Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Traders lean toward Yes, pricing it at 85%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.

When does the Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Traders have put $187K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.