Ukraine · Geopolitics

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

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$18.8K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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Jared Kushner

$591 Volume

79%

Mark Rutte

$20 Volume

78%

Keith Kellogg

$385 Volume

77%

Steve Witkoff

$628 Volume

68%

Ursula von der Leyen

$889 Volume

66%

Donald Tusk

$55 Volume

66%

António Costa

$40 Volume

63%

Andy Burnham

$972 Volume

59%

Friedrich Merz

$411 Volume

50%

Emmanuel Macron

$211 Volume

45%

Maia Sandu

$219 Volume

45%

Mark Carney

$475 Volume

29%

António Guterres

$200 Volume

19%

Donald Trump

$11.8K Volume

11%

JD Vance

$1.9K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

The money is on Jared Kushner at 79%; Mark Rutte follows at 76%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

The market makes Jared Kushner the favorite at 79%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Who will visit Ukraine by December 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (155 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Traders have put $18.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Who will visit Ukraine by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.