putin · Russia

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

$36.7K Volume
31/08/2026 23:59
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July 31
$43.3K Volume
57%
August 31
$19.3K Volume
77%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by?
The money is on August 31 at 77%; July 31 follows at 55%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by?
Traders lean toward August 31, pricing it at 77%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (54 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by?
Traders have put $36.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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