This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kyle Diamantas
$5.9K Volume
15%
No announcement by December 31
$998 Volume
59%
Brett Giroir
$3K Volume
8%
Sara Brenner
$2.7K Volume
9%
Grace Graham
$4.2K Volume
4%
Stephen Hahn
$1.7K Volume
7%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?
The field is wide open: No announcement by December 31 tops it at just 34%, with Kyle Diamantas close behind at 15%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?
No strong consensus yet: No announcement by December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 34%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (152 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?
$18.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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