This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Tech
· Big Tech
· AI
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
Google
$153.4K Volume
99%
Alibaba
$42K Volume
1%
Moonshot
$15.5K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$29.8K Volume
1%
Meituan
$12.9K Volume
1%
Anthropic
$335.8K Volume
1%
Mistral
$15.2K Volume
1%
Baidu
$26.4K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$105.8K Volume
1%
OpenAI
$94.6K Volume
1%
Amazon
$32.6K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$34.8K Volume
1%
Meta
$39.6K Volume
1%
xAI
$110.4K Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company G
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Company D
50%
Company K
50%
Microsoft
$22.2K Volume
50%
Company C
50%
Company H
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
About This Market
Similar Markets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
Yes 99¢No 1¢
>$1.2T
Yes 98¢No 2¢

Largest Company end of June?
Yes 93¢No 7¢
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Which company has best AI model end of June?
Yes 85¢No 15¢
Yes 11¢No 89¢

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
Yes 99¢No 1¢
<500B
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Claude Mythos released by…?
July 31
Yes 84¢No 16¢
June 30
Yes 56¢No 44¢

Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Yes 67¢No 33¢
Yes 26¢No 74¢

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
Yes 46¢No 54¢
1.5T-2.0T
Yes 37¢No 63¢

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Yes 65¢No 35¢
Yes 18¢No 82¢