This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Past
Anthropic
$8.2K Volume
91%
Google
$2.6K Volume
5%
OpenAI
$1.2K Volume
3%
Meta
$1.2K Volume
3%
Alibaba
$901 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$920 Volume
1%
xAI
$1.1K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$942 Volume
1%
Baidu
$861 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$770 Volume
1%
Mistral
$828 Volume
1%
Meituan
$935 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$1.1K Volume
1%
Amazon
$842 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$782 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)?
At 91%, Anthropic has pulled far clear of Google (3%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)?
Traders price Anthropic at a 91% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On) market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (21 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)?
Traders have put $2.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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