Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Past
A Toxic Love Story
$6.1K Volume
97%
72 Hours
$20 Volume
4%
Sniper: No Nation
$20 Volume
2%
A Quiet Place: Day One
$20 Volume
2%
Ordinary Angels
$20 Volume
2%
Elize: Shadows of a Woman
$20 Volume
2%
Voicemails for Isabelle
$95 Volume
2%
Minions
$20 Volume
2%
Furious 7
$20 Volume
2%
KPop Demon Hunters
$20 Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
A Toxic Love Story dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Movie A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Traders price A Toxic Love Story at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (5 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Traders have put $6.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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