Israel · Politics

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

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$611 Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A vote will qualify only if it passes and the new government is constituted.

A vote that is held but fails will not qualify. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify.

The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Yes is priced at 54% and No at 47%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Traders currently imply a 54% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $611, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.