Cuba · Trump

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

$11 Volume
01/11/2026 03:59
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August 31
$118 Volume
20%
October 31
$11.3K Volume
50%
Resolved 2
June 30
$6.6K Volume
No
July 31
$19.3K Volume
No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by?
The current front-runner is October 31 at 36%, ahead of August 31 at 12%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by?
Traders currently imply a 36% chance for October 31. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Nov 2026 (68 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by?
Total traded volume on this market is $11, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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