Russia · crimea

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

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$74.5K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Yes is priced at 5% and No at 95%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Traders currently imply a 5% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Total traded volume on this market is $74.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.