This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 5%, while No trades at 95%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 5%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the US national Ethereum reserve before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Traders have put $3 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade US national Ethereum reserve before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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