This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
The market prices Yes at only 19%, with No at 81%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 19% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Total turnover stands at $30. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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