This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
September 30
$21.3K Volume
6%
December 31
$35K Volume
12%
Resolved 3
January 31
$145.3K Volume
No
March 31
$21.7K Volume
No
June 30
$301.6K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 11%, with September 30 close behind at 4%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 11%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (153 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by?
Total turnover stands at $525K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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