This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, or signs any bill into law, or otherwise officially renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames Lake Ontario accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar will suffice.
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
Yes is priced at 25% and No at 76%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 25% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $40, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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