This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$1.5K Volume
15%
40-64
$652 Volume
41%
65-89
$1K Volume
29%
90-114
$1K Volume
9%
115-139
$1K Volume
3%
140-164
$1.4K Volume
1%
165-189
$405 Volume
1%
190-214
$462 Volume
1%
215-239
$237 Volume
1%
240+
$1K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 40-64 trades at 41%, 65-89 at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 40-64 tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 26 Aug 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
$624.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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