This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
<37.0
$65 Volume
6%
37.0–37.4
$65 Volume
9%
37.5–37.9
$764 Volume
30%
38.0–38.4
$624 Volume
35%
38.5–38.9
$1K Volume
30%
39.0+
$153 Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump approval rating on August 28?
The current front-runner is 38.0–38.4 at 35%, ahead of 38.5–38.9 at 29%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Trump approval rating on August 28?
Traders currently imply a 35% chance for 38.0–38.4. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Trump approval rating on August 28 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 28 Aug 2026 (5 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Trump approval rating on August 28?
Total traded volume on this market is $794, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Trump approval rating on August 28 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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