AI · Tech

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

$15.7K Volume
30/09/2026 23:59
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Google
$9.6K Volume
30%
OpenAI
$383 Volume
16%
Alibaba
$234 Volume
15%
Baidu
$204 Volume
6%
Moonshot
$224 Volume
5%
Anthropic
$222 Volume
7%
Z.ai
$227 Volume
37%
SpaceXAI
$226 Volume
3%
DeepSeek
$204 Volume
3%
Meta
$244 Volume
8%
Microsoft
$249 Volume
8%
Amazon
$196 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$204 Volume
1%
Tencent
$244 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$196 Volume
7%
Mistral
$254 Volume
1%
Meituan
$481 Volume
3%
Xiaomi
$198 Volume
1%
Thinky
$202 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$244 Volume
1%
StepFun
$198 Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution Source: arena.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Third-best AI Lab end of September?
No runaway leader here - Company A at 50% versus Company B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Third-best AI Lab end of September?
Traders give Company A a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Third-best AI Lab end of September market resolve?
Mark 30 Sep 2026 (63 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Third-best AI Lab end of September?
$15.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Third-best AI Lab end of September on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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