This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shein's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”.
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
This market will resolve based on market capitalization in Hong Kong Dollars (HKD). If the currency of the primary exchange is not HKD, this market will resolve based on a converted value to HKD, using the conversion rate at the time of market close of the primary exchange on the company's first day of trading.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
↑ 200B HKD
$455 Volume
93%
↑ 250B HKD
$1K Volume
55%
↑ 300B HKD
$920 Volume
35%
↑ 350B HKD
$278 Volume
26%
↑ 400B HKD
$771 Volume
25%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
At 91%, ↑ 200B HKD has pulled far clear of ↑ 250B HKD (49%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
Traders price ↑ 200B HKD at a 91% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __ market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2027 (520 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
$3.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __ on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
December 31, 202671%YesNo
October 31, 202636%YesNo
$1.0T-$1.5T50%YesNo
$1.5T-$2.0T37%YesNo
$6.5B-$8B49%YesNo
$8B-$9.5B27%YesNo
December 31, 202619%YesNo
September 30, 20264%YesNo
$20B+18%YesNo
$17.5B–$20B16%YesNo
$1.25–$1.5T17%YesNo
$2.25–$2.5T17%YesNo
$800M-$1B38%YesNo
$1B-$1.2B32%YesNo






