The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marina Silva
$2.8K Volume
31%
Guilherme Derrite
$3.1K Volume
38%
Simone Tebet
$3.4K Volume
19%
Salles
$1.6K Volume
32%
André do Prado
$1.8K Volume
11%
Weller Gonçalves
$813 Volume
1%
Maíra de Souza
$406 Volume
1%
Soninha Francine
$608 Volume
1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$457 Volume
1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$580 Volume
1%
Geraldo Rufino
$528 Volume
1%
Marcio Alves
$408 Volume
1%
Petter Maahs
$757 Volume
1%
William Teixeira
$686 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
No runaway leader here - Candidate A at 50% versus Candidate B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
At 50% implied for Candidate A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (42 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
Traders have put $17.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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