Politics · Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$62.8K Volume
20/09/2026 00:00
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Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18.8K Volume
39%
New People (NL)
$11K Volume
38%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$9.4K Volume
17%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4.1K Volume
5%
Yabloko
$10.6K Volume
3%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1.8K Volume
1%
United Russia (ER)
$3.7K Volume
1%
Rodina
$3.5K Volume
1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
The current front-runner is Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) at 39%, ahead of New People (NL) at 36%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
Traders currently imply a 39% chance for Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR). Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 20 Sep 2026 (26 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $62.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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