Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
New People (NL)
$2.6K Volume
44%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$1.7K Volume
27%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$7.8K Volume
18%
Civic Platform (GP)
$698 Volume
6%
United Russia (ER)
$439 Volume
2%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$499 Volume
2%
Rodina
$1.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
The field is wide open: New People (NL) tops it at just 43%, with Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) close behind at 27%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
No strong consensus yet: New People (NL) tops the implied probabilities at just 43%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place market resolve?
The market runs until 20 Sep 2026 (73 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
Traders have put $15.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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