This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Past
Increase
$345 Volume
71%
No Change
$1.3K Volume
30%
Decrease
$125 Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
The money is on Increase at 66%; No Change follows at 30%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
Traders lean toward Increase, pricing it at 66%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September market resolve?
Mark 2 Sep 2026 (53 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
Traders have put $1.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
No change99%YesNo
50+ bps increase1%YesNo
No Change76%YesNo
Decrease22%YesNo
Increase93%YesNo
No Change7%YesNo
No change98%YesNo
25 bps Increase2%YesNo
No Change85%YesNo
Decrease16%YesNo
No change72%YesNo
25 bps increase15%YesNo
25 bps decrease88%YesNo
No Change10%YesNo
Decrease51%YesNo
No Change32%YesNo
