RBNZ · World

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

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$3.5K Volume

02/09/2026 00:00

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Past

Jul 7 May 27 Apr 7 Feb 17

Sep 2 Oct 28

Increase

$12.7K Volume

97%

No Change

$16.3K Volume

Decrease

$2.1K Volume

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

The current front-runner is Increase at 97%, ahead of No Change at 3%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Traders currently imply a 97% chance for Increase. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 2 Sep 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Total traded volume on this market is $3.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.