This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Past
No Change
$21.9K Volume
87%
Decrease
$21.3K Volume
13%
Increase
$5.1K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
The current front-runner is No Change at 87%, ahead of Decrease at 13%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
Traders currently imply a 87% chance for No Change. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the People's Bank of China rate change by September 30 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Sep 2026 (38 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
Total traded volume on this market is $36, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade People's Bank of China rate change by September 30 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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