This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Global Rates
· Macro Indicators
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
Past
No Change
$2.9K Volume
84%
Decrease
$1.4K Volume
11%
Increase
$197 Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
The front-runner right now is No Change at 83%, ahead of Decrease at 10%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
The market gives No Change a 83% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the People's Bank of China rate change by September 30 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 30 Sep 2026 (92 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.6K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade People's Bank of China rate change by September 30 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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