This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Past
Decrease
94%
No Change
96%
Increase
96%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of India decision in August?
The front-runner right now is No Change at 48%, ahead of Increase at 48%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Reserve Bank of India decision in August?
The market gives No Change a 48% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Reserve Bank of India decision in August market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 5 Aug 2026 (35 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How can I trade Reserve Bank of India decision in August on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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