AI · Meta

Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by...?

$38 Volume
01/10/2026 03:59
market.mkt_cta_label
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
August 31
$357 Volume
6%
September 15
93%
September 30
$3.2K Volume
52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by?
The current front-runner is September 30 at 52%, ahead of September 15 at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by?
Traders currently imply a 52% chance for September 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Oct 2026 (37 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by?
Total traded volume on this market is $38, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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