This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
August 31, 2026
$1.3K Volume
15%
September 15, 2026
$46 Volume
80%
September 30, 2026
$5.5K Volume
94%
December 31, 2026
$2K Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Kimi K model released by?
The current front-runner is December 31, 2026 at 99%, ahead of September 30, 2026 at 93%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next Kimi K model released by?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for December 31, 2026. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next Kimi K model released by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next Kimi K model released by?
Total traded volume on this market is $8.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next Kimi K model released by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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