Politics · Elections

NC-04 House Election Winner

$22K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Democratic Party
$13.8K Volume
94%
Republican Party
$8.2K Volume
7%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for NC-04 House Election Winner?
At 94%, Democratic Party has pulled far clear of Republican Party (7%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for NC-04 House Election Winner?
With 94% implied for Democratic Party, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the NC-04 House Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (115 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on NC-04 House Election Winner?
$22K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade NC-04 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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