This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$1.9K Volume
1%
26°C
$2.2K Volume
1%
27°C
$9.2K Volume
1%
28°C
$6.8K Volume
1%
29°C
$6.7K Volume
1%
30°C
$9.1K Volume
1%
31°C
$14K Volume
1%
32°C
$4.6K Volume
87%
33°C
$6.3K Volume
11%
34°C
$7.4K Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$9K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 30?
32°C dominates the field at 86%; the nearest challenger, 33°C, trades at just 10%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 30?
Traders price 32°C at a 86% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 30 market resolve?
Mark 30 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 30?
$130.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 30 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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