This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
20°C or below
$346 Volume
1%
21°C
$37 Volume
1%
22°C
$529 Volume
2%
23°C
$407 Volume
18%
24°C
$456 Volume
37%
25°C
$2.3K Volume
46%
26°C
$404 Volume
13%
27°C
$275 Volume
2%
28°C
$353 Volume
1%
29°C
$300 Volume
1%
30°C or higher
$208 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
Even the leader is cheap - 25°C trades at 45%, 24°C at 35%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
No strong consensus yet: 25°C tops the implied probabilities at just 45%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2 market resolve?
The market runs until 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
$65.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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