This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<5
$1.2K Volume
81%
5-9
$184 Volume
15%
10-14
$73 Volume
7%
15-19
$91 Volume
1%
20-24
$91 Volume
1%
25-29
$81 Volume
1%
30-34
$91 Volume
1%
35-39
$28 Volume
2%
40-44
$47 Volume
1%
45-49
$47 Volume
1%
50-54
$37 Volume
1%
55-59
$37 Volume
1%
60+
$37 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
The current front-runner is <5 at 81%, ahead of 5-9 at 14%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
Traders currently imply a 81% chance for <5. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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