This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Past
≤-0.7%
$966 Volume
1%
-0.6%
$894 Volume
1%
-0.5%
$723 Volume
1%
-0.4%
$810 Volume
1%
-0.3%
$1K Volume
1%
-0.2%
$928 Volume
1%
-0.1%
$1.4K Volume
5%
0.0%
$9.7K Volume
21%
≥0.1%
$19.5K Volume
71%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for July Inflation US - Monthly?
The money is on ≥0.1% at 70%; 0.0% follows at 21%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for July Inflation US - Monthly?
The market makes ≥0.1% the favorite at 70%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the July Inflation US - Monthly market resolve?
Mark 12 Aug 2026 (21 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on July Inflation US - Monthly?
$106.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade July Inflation US - Monthly on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
3.4%45%YesNo
3.3%27%YesNo
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)53%YesNo
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)22%YesNo
1.8-2.0%57%YesNo
2.1-2.3%37%YesNo
2.7% to 2.9%38%YesNo
2.4% to 2.6%26%YesNo
4.1-4.4%31%YesNo
3.8-4.1%20%YesNo
0.2%40%YesNo
0.1%26%YesNo
0.6 – 1.0%43%YesNo
1.1 – 1.5%41%YesNo
2.4%36%YesNo
2.5%28%YesNo
