This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
<-1.0%
$19.7K Volume
4%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3.3K Volume
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4.6K Volume
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
$5.2K Volume
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$9K Volume
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
$14.4K Volume
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6.5K Volume
5%
2.0-2.4%
$7.9K Volume
6%
2.5%+
$3.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for China Annual Inflation 2026?
The current front-runner is 0.6 – 1.0% at 60%, ahead of 0.1 – 0.5% at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for China Annual Inflation 2026?
Traders currently imply a 60% chance for 0.6 – 1.0%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the China Annual Inflation 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 10 Jan 2027 (139 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on China Annual Inflation 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $73.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade China Annual Inflation 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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