Macro Indicators · Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

$45.9K Volume
10/01/2027 00:00
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1.1 – 1.5%
$3.7K Volume
46%
0.6 – 1.0%
$3.4K Volume
28%
0.1 – 0.5%
$3K Volume
6%
2.5%+
$2.6K Volume
2%
2.0-2.4%
$3.3K Volume
5%
1.6 – 2.0%
$4.3K Volume
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$3.8K Volume
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2.7K Volume
3%
<-1.0%
$19K Volume
5%

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for China Annual Inflation 2026?
It's a genuine race: 1.1 – 1.5% edges the field at 46%, barely ahead of 0.6 – 1.0% at 19%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for China Annual Inflation 2026?
Traders give 1.1 – 1.5% a 46% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the China Annual Inflation 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 10 Jan 2027 (192 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on China Annual Inflation 2026?
$45.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade China Annual Inflation 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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