This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Past
≤2.2%
$2.6K Volume
17%
2.3%
$382 Volume
7%
2.4%
$2.5K Volume
45%
2.5%
$3.5K Volume
31%
2.6%
$536 Volume
17%
2.7%
$5.4K Volume
4%
2.8%
$399 Volume
7%
2.9%
$444 Volume
3%
3.0%
$321 Volume
8%
≥3.1%
$447 Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Core CPI YoY - July 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 2.4% trades at 34%, 2.5% at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Core CPI YoY - July 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 2.4% at 34% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Core CPI YoY - July 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026 (21 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Core CPI YoY - July 2026?
$1.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Core CPI YoY - July 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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