This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
30°C or below
$1.4K Volume
1%
31°C
$1.2K Volume
3%
32°C
$315 Volume
7%
33°C
$1.6K Volume
23%
34°C
$921 Volume
41%
35°C
$777 Volume
25%
36°C
$678 Volume
11%
37°C
$715 Volume
4%
38°C
$1K Volume
3%
39°C
$512 Volume
1%
40°C or higher
$852 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?
The field is wide open: 34°C tops it at just 40%, with 35°C close behind at 25%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?
No strong consensus yet: 34°C tops the implied probabilities at just 40%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2 market resolve?
Mark 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?
$136.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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