This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
63°F or below
$918 Volume
1%
64-65°F
$187 Volume
1%
66-67°F
$162 Volume
1%
68-69°F
$142 Volume
6%
70-71°F
$1.1K Volume
20%
72-73°F
$440 Volume
29%
74-75°F
$560 Volume
35%
76-77°F
$903 Volume
17%
78-79°F
$120 Volume
6%
80-81°F
$785 Volume
1%
82°F or higher
$399 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 1?
Even the leader is cheap - 74-75°F trades at 34%, 72-73°F at 29%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 1?
No strong consensus yet: 74-75°F tops the implied probabilities at just 34%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 1 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 1?
Total turnover stands at $29K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 1 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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