This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
21°C or below
$394 Volume
1%
22°C
$562 Volume
1%
23°C
$405 Volume
1%
24°C
$304 Volume
1%
25°C
$2.3K Volume
4%
26°C
$1.7K Volume
30%
27°C
$1.9K Volume
38%
28°C
$1.1K Volume
24%
29°C
$684 Volume
9%
30°C
$730 Volume
3%
31°C or higher
$1.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
Even the leader is cheap - 27°C trades at 38%, 26°C at 30%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
No strong consensus yet: 27°C tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
Total turnover stands at $187.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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