This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$135 Volume
1%
26°C
$102 Volume
1%
27°C
$223 Volume
4%
28°C
$254 Volume
8%
29°C
$347 Volume
24%
30°C
$200 Volume
36%
31°C
$250 Volume
26%
32°C
$870 Volume
12%
33°C
$964 Volume
2%
34°C
$163 Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$437 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
The field is wide open: 30°C tops it at just 35%, with 31°C close behind at 26%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
No strong consensus yet: 30°C tops the implied probabilities at just 35%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2 market resolve?
The market runs until 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
Total turnover stands at $112.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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