This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
August 30
$1.5K Volume
32%
October 31
$501 Volume
82%
December 31
$534 Volume
76%
Resolved 1
June 30
$2.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by?
The current front-runner is October 31 at 67%, ahead of December 31 at 61%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by?
Traders currently imply a 67% chance for October 31. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
How much money is trading on Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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