The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Michelle Bolsonaro
$1.4K Volume
71%
Leila do Vôlei
$1.3K Volume
27%
Avenir Rosa
$152 Volume
1%
David Horn
$157 Volume
1%
Erika Kokay
$203 Volume
1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$157 Volume
1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$201 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$157 Volume
1%
Sebastião Coelho
$220 Volume
1%
Bia Kicis
$1.8K Volume
1%
Marley
$179 Volume
1%
Tiago
$203 Volume
1%
Zanata
$157 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place?
Michelle Bolsonaro leads the field at 71%, with Candidate A next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place?
The market makes Michelle Bolsonaro the favorite at 71%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (43 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders have put $6.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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