The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Renato Casagrande
$5.7K Volume
98%
Fabiano Contarato
$398 Volume
3%
Leonardo Monjardim
$580 Volume
1%
Rodney Miranda
$378 Volume
2%
Callegari
$367 Volume
1%
Evair de Melo
$382 Volume
1%
Maguinha Malta
$594 Volume
1%
Marcos do Val
$402 Volume
2%
Professor Fabian
$299 Volume
1%
Rose de Freitas
$359 Volume
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$402 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place?
The current front-runner is Renato Casagrande at 97%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders currently imply a 97% chance for Renato Casagrande. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $9.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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