This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$236 Volume
11%
40-64
$60 Volume
44%
65-89
$140 Volume
30%
90-114
$107 Volume
11%
115-139
$335 Volume
4%
140-164
$35 Volume
2%
165-189
$115 Volume
1%
190-214
$15 Volume
1%
215-239
$25 Volume
1%
240+
$38 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 40-64 trades at 42%, 65-89 at 30%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 40-64 tops the implied probabilities at just 42%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 29 Jul 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?
Traders have put $631.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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