This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$705 Volume
1%
20-39
$754 Volume
1%
40-59
$754 Volume
1%
60-79
$1.1K Volume
1%
80-99
$24 Volume
1%
100-119
$234 Volume
2%
120-139
$148 Volume
4%
140-159
$174 Volume
11%
160-179
$24 Volume
11%
180-199
$38 Volume
15%
200-219
$100 Volume
15%
220-239
$116 Volume
16%
240-259
$50 Volume
14%
260-279
$76 Volume
10%
280-299
$38 Volume
9%
300-319
$24 Volume
9%
320-339
$24 Volume
3%
340-359
$44 Volume
6%
360-379
$29 Volume
1%
380-399
$29 Volume
1%
400-419
$25 Volume
1%
420-439
$24 Volume
1%
440-459
$24 Volume
1%
460-479
$24 Volume
1%
480-499
$24 Volume
1%
500+
$124 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
The current front-runner is 220-239 at 16%, ahead of 180-199 at 15%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
Traders currently imply a 16% chance for 220-239. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Sep 2026 (11 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $978K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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