This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
≤2.0%
$375 Volume
1%
2.1%
$353 Volume
2%
2.2%
$414 Volume
2%
2.3%
$413 Volume
34%
2.4%
$3.4K Volume
44%
2.5%
$270 Volume
22%
2.6%
$918 Volume
4%
2.7%
$792 Volume
4%
2.8%
$922 Volume
4%
≥2.9%
$461 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
The current front-runner is 2.4% at 43%, ahead of 2.3% at 33%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
Traders currently imply a 43% chance for 2.4%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Core CPI YoY - August 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 11 Sep 2026 (17 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $429, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Core CPI YoY - August 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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